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2020 Kentucky Derby odds, predictions: Expert who’s nailed 9 Derby-Oaks Doubles unveils surprising picks

Legendary trainer Barclay Tagg fell just short of winning the prestigious Triple Crown of horse racing in 2003 when Funny Cide finished third on a sloppy track at the Belmont Stakes after winning the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes. Tagg got his Belmont Stakes revenge 17 years later with Tiz the Law back in June, and now he’ll continue his pursuit of the Triple Crown on Saturday at the 2020 Kentucky Derby. Tiz the Law drew the 17th post, which has never produced a Kentucky Derby winner, but will slide inside to the 15th position after King Guillermo and Finnick the Fierce were scratched.

Tiz the Law is now the 5-8 favorite according to the latest 2020 Kentucky Derby odds from William Hill, but he’ll face the toughest field he’s seen thus far when he goes to post at 7:01 p.m. ET. Graded-stakes winner Honor A.P. (5-1), Authentic (8-1) and Thousands Words (12-1) are all entered for the 146th Run for the Roses after skipping the Belmont. Before making any horse racing predictions, you’ll want to see the latest 2020 Kentucky Derby picks from SportsLine’s Jody Demling.

A fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing about, talking about and betting on races for years, Demling enters the 2020 Kentucky Derby on a major heater on his horse racing picks. He has the picked the winner in six straight races: the Saudi Cup, Gotham Stakes, Rebel Stakes, Louisiana Derby, Florida Derby and Belmont Stakes. At the Belmont, the first Triple Crown race of 2020, Demling called Tiz the Law the class of the field and he pulled away for a convincing victory.

This is the same handicapper who hit the Oaks-Derby double at Churchill Downs nine times in the last 11 years. That means he held a ticket with the winners of both the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby all but twice in his last 11 tries. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Demling has released his early 2020 Kentucky Derby picks, predicting where every horse will finish. He’s sharing all of it at SportsLine.

2020 Kentucky Derby expert predictions

One surprise: Demling is fading Authentic, even though he’s one of the favorites in the Kentucky Derby odds 2020 at 8-1. In fact, Demling says Authentic doesn’t even crack the top five. Authentic is coming off a victory in the Haskell Stakes, his fourth win in five starts. His only loss came in the Santa Anita Derby, when he finished second to Honor A.P. 

But Authentic was less than spectacular down the stretch at the Haskell, visibly losing speed under jockey Mike Smith. Loading into the Churchill Downs gate on the far outside in the No. 18 post position, Authentic will have to travel the maximum distance to get to the finish line. Even with the victories, Demling believes Authentic is “not sure he wants the added distance” of the 1 1/4-mile Kentucky Derby and doesn’t recommend including the horse in your 2020 Kentucky Derby bets.

Another shocker: Demling is high on Ny Traffic, even though he’s a huge 20-1 long shot in the latest Kentucky Derby odds 2020. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Ny Traffic has not been worse than third in five starts in 2020 and has shown improvement in each of his races. His most recent effort was a quick runner-up finish at the Haskell Invitational on July 18, a run that put the colt in prime position for the Kentucky Derby. 

The son of Cross Traffic out of Mamie Reilly, Ny Traffic hasn’t been outside the money since November 2019. The New York-bred horse has improved his Beyer Speed Figure every time out, from an 82 in the Risen Star to an 89 in the Louisiana Derby to a 95 in the Matt Winn to a 101 in the Haskell, where he was just a stride away from taking down Authentic. Demling is backing Ny Traffic, saying the colt “is likely to be still running in the end,” and likes him for your 2020 Kentucky Derby bets.

How to make 2020 Kentucky Derby picks

In addition, Demling is high on an epic long shot who “will be running in the end.” He’s using him prominently in his exactas, trifectas, and superfectas, and so should you. He’s only sharing which horse to back, and his entire projected 2020 Kentucky Derby leaderboard, here.

Which horse wins the Kentucky Derby 2020? And which massive long shot is a must-back? Check out the latest 2020 Kentucky Derby odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Demling’s picks for the 2020 Kentucky Derby, and find out. 

2020 Kentucky Derby odds

Tiz the Law 5-8
Honor A.P. 5-1
Authentic 8-1
Thousand Words 12-1
Ny Traffic 20-1
Enforceable 25-1
Max Player 30-1
Sole Volante 35-1
Money Moves 40-1
Attachment Rate 40-1
South Bend 50-1
Storm the Court 60-1
Major Fed 60-1
Necker Island 85-1
Mr Big News 100-1
Winning Impression 100-1



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